The 8th race at Parx posts at 4:04 pm EDT
Got off the schneid a little yesterday with Tattered getting luck from a DQ by Adam Bowman. For the tenth race, I canceled my ticket as soon as I saw Admiral Eastwood acting badly in the gate; he ultimately was eased in the race.
For today, it’s $108 in bets and $77 returned for a -19.17% roi
Today we are heading back to Philly where the weather is a perfect summer day – low humidity and mid 80’s with lots of sunshine.
#2 Adventist (9/2) has the best Equibase/SmartCap overall class and speed numbers. Kentucky bred seven-year-old also has second best last numbers, best race two back and best last two cumulatively. Tossing out its last, due to the sloppy conditions, and this horse has zero affinity for it (9:1-0-2), he clanked out a solid win in the Bernadini Stakes in last February. This horse is the class of this field and I am waffling on it for this reason – he has run in six stakes races where he was competitive in five if them, including a G2 win at Parx last October. With all of the stakes races at his level this past week around the area, why is he entered into a $12.5K starter allowance? Then again, regular rider John Bisono is in the irons and his Parx average per race is $14K, about 25% greater than the rest
#6 Blue Buff (5/2) Frankie/Servis hitting 20% together and Pennington 19 in routes. This son of Unbridled Song is going six wins in a row. Gulfstream shipper clocked a :59 workout a couple of weeks ago, so his form is still sound.
#1 Deal Driven (6/1) second off a nine month layoff for this gelding and his last was a solid effort getting up for the show in a dead heat. Coming back after eight days is a positive sign as is a 14:5-5-2 record at the track. Given the track bias for the inside in routes, along with the post position and lack of early foot in this, he has a very good shot at wiring the field.
#7 Thundershook (7/2) Jamie Ness listed as hottest trainer last week fetching a 20:7-4-5 record. Going for three wins in a row and a Parx record of 9:4-2-1, he will be a tough out. This guy is versatile coming from off the pace as well as being on the lead.
I am going with #2 Adventist. With the regular rider back and his infinitely greater numbers than the rest, I believe you will see him take command in the stretch.
You can make a case for all but two of these, so with that, my choice is #3 Ark In The Dark (8/5) third off the layoff and a solid race last out almost wiring the field, son of Midnight Lute is 11:2-3-2 at Parx and lone speed.