First post is 3:51 pm EDT
Horrible day yesterday on Bettors Insider, however, if you have been following me on Twitter, I put out a winner in the 4th that went off at 43/1. The silver lining. In the 7th, my pick, Our Country came out in the track with front wraps on and I didn’t bet him. Front wraps are typically a sign of tendon troubles and usually a bad bet.
$72 in bets and $58.80 returned for an roi of -11.96%
Today, we are going to Keeneland where it is predicted to rain early and clear just as fast.
$62.5K Optional Claimer for 3yo+ NW$ or NW3, 6F
#4 Much Better (7/2) has our best class and near best last race. After chasing the likes of Omaha Beach, Roadster and Manny Wah, where he gave up after ½, this son of Pioneer Of The Nile was brought to CD a month ago at this same level where he set pressed the pace until trailing off to fourth. This fits right into the Asmussen/Santana wheelhouse – 2nd off a layoff. He put in a smokin’ 3f work recently going :35.8. He is in shape and will be tough to catch. $33K per race is the best today.
#8 Candy Cornell (4/1) has best overall speed and an awfully close overall class. David Cohen getting his ass handed to him this past 30 days, winning only 2%. Candy Ride gelding has excellent speed numbers and a 4:1-2-0 campaign this year. I suspect Cohen will take the front as quick as possible and fade.
#3 Early Mischief (9/2) has best last and a perfunctory late kick. This is his third race off the layoff and with James Graham in the irons, he’ll be flying late.
#2 Complexifier (9/2) 5:2-1-2 for $135K or $27K per race certainly will be worth putting on your exotics. Bryan Lynch 7% with horses off 6+ months.
My pick: I’m going with #4 Much Better and a show bet on George Arnold’s horse, #1 Traveling Midas (5/1).
The $100K Beaumont Stakes for 3yo fillies going *7F
#4 Wicked Whisper (3/1) has best overall class and best two races cumulatively. He is coming off a layoff from The $2M Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies where she chased British Idiom, Bast and Donna Veloce before being outclassed that day. Asmussen 25% going route to sprint and 19% with horses off 6+ months. Her works have been stellar, including a :59.2 from the gate in mid-June. She will take the lead today and perhaps wire this field.
#2 Speech (7/5) has best overall speed, near best class and best last. She has had seconditis this year going 4:0-4-0, yet she has been running against stout company, including a G2 stakes last out. No works or races at the track, so I’ll pass.
#6 Turtle Trax (12/1) has second best overall class and knocked on the door with a close second last out. There is enough speed in this race to make this closer a threat. Include in your exotics
My Pick: #4 Wicked Whisper
The G1 $300K Makers Mark Mile Stakes – 4yo+ on turf
This will come down to four horses;
#9 Next Shares (8/1), #10 War Of Will (6/1), #8 Without Parole (5/2), #4 Raging Bull (9/5)
#5 English Bee is a G3 winner, Raging Bull has won (2) G1 races, a G2 and G3, Without Parole is a G1 winner, Next Shares has won (2) G2 stakes, War Of Will has won a G1, G2 and G3 race.
That said, #2 High Crime (30/1) along with War Of Will are going to take the lead and set strong fractions. Next Shares, Without Parole and Raging Bull will lay off the lead and save ground. As they head around the turn and onto the stretch, I’m putting my money on Next Shares to smoke the stretch and get a better trip than last out.
My pick: #9 Next Shares
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