Heading into the first turn at Keeneland
Heading into the first turn at Keeneland|keeneland.com
Thoroughbreds

Wednesday at the track: RT picks horses at Keeneland Racing and the Hoosier Breeders Sophomore Stakes at Indiana Grand

First post time is 1:39 pm EDT

RT

Too much action today and too little time 😊

Yesterday, there were $12 in bets and $20 returned for a +8.00 profit or a +37.89% roi

Keeneland Racing Race 2, Post time 1:39 pm EDT

$20K Claiming fillies and mares 3yo+ NW$ going 6f

SmartCap has #1 Heavens Whisper (1/1) checking off all the boxes. She’ll be tough to beat with her record of 29: 13-5-5 and at the distance, she’s 12:5-2-3. However, this race screams pace meltdown with #2 Take Charge Erica (3/1) and #4 Charge It Jen (4/1) vying for lone speed with #1. Given that, closer, #6 Over The Blues (9/2) looks to have shot at tiring horses.

My pick: I’ll bet p/s on #6 Over The Blues

Indiana Grand Race 1, Post time: 2:20 pm EDT

The $75k Hoosier Breeders Sophomore Stakes, Indiana bred 3yo fillies going 8.5f

The horse to beat in this is #1 Copper Nickel (3/5) and deservedly so. His speed figures have been far superior to the rest of the field and he’ll probably get the job done. My play in this will be a place bet on #5 She’s The Cause (9/2). Having a leading jockey, Deshawn Parker, in the irons should keep this filly close.

My pick: #5 She’s The Cause

Keeneland Racing Race 7, Post time 4:24 pm EDT

$50K Starter Allowance for 3yo+ NW$x going one mile

#1 Admire (5/1) has best overall speed and a last out winner. In his last, a key race, the runner have come out of it scoring sub Equibase scores to their previous race, therefore, look for Talamo to take the lead and fade off.

#7 Father G (4/1) has best overall class and near best overall speed. He also has best last and is 3:1-0-1 at the distance. He has amassed a $11K per race average that bests this field.

#3 Frau Mauro (8/1) Asmussen/Santana entry will not go off at 8/1 when it’s post time. He has near best overall class and near best speed. He too is 3:1-0-1 at the distance and we’ll see if Asmussens’ ineptitude at routes over the CD track continues at Keeneland. Drury/Hernandez hitting at 40%.

#11 Lngtermrelationshp (6/1) has co-best last and Tyler Gafflione getting a second ride today. In his last, he sat a perfect rail trip until trying to get through in the stretch. When he finally got some daylight, he shot through to finish a most game second. Today will be an altogether different trip coming from the far outside and if he gets tucked in fast enough, he’ll be a danger late. 3:1-0-1 at Keeneland and 8:1-4-1 at the distance.

My pick: I’m sticking with the numbers and taking #7 Lngtermrelationshp and then use the above four in a trifecta play.

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If you are interested in getting more daily evaluations, please email SmartCap@bettorsinsider.com.

SmartCap analysis of the 2nd at Keeneland Racing
SmartCap analysis of the 2nd at Keeneland Racing RT
SmartCap analysis of the 7th at Keeneland Racing
SmartCap analysis of the 7th at Keeneland Racing RT
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Explanation on how to read SmartCap RT
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