Racing at the Fort Erie Race Track
Racing at the Fort Erie Race Track|@Forterieracing on Twitter
Thoroughbreds

Monday at the track: RT picks 2 races at Fort Erie using the SmartCap system

Post time is 1:38 pm EDT

RT

I will be back later for tonight’s pick five from Assiniboia.

For now, given the number of tracks that are predicted to have rain, I am going north of the border to Ft. Erie, which sits on the Niagara River, across the border from Buffalo.

Fort Erie: Race 2 – 3yo+ NWx going 8.5f, post time 1:38 pm EDT

If you believe the algorithms of STATS Race Lens, then the huge favorite is the one to beat. I’m of the opinion that he is a vulnerable favorite to the #2 Magical Breeze (2/1).

22% trainer Sharon Ceccata has this horse moving in the right direction, bringing him back from a long layoff to a 6f event and then moved up in class and distance to run an even third last out. Looking over the pp’s, almost every time that #4 Narrow Escape (9/5) has had to run the extra forty yards, to today’s distance, he fades off.

Fort Erie: Race 4 – 3yo+ NWx going 6.5f, post time 2:34 pm EDT

I’m a buyer of #5 Love That Lute (3/1) over #3 Marcus. Every time I see STATS Race Lens bending this far to one side, it typically ends up losing. Additionally, #5 gets a twelve-pound weight break in this and that will be critical. SmartCap has Love That Lute with best overall class, near best speed and this class drop fits.

Follow me @RtsSpot for more.

If you are interested in getting more daily evaluations, please email SmartCap@bettorsinsider.com.

SmartCap eval of the 2nd at Fort Erie
SmartCap eval of the 2nd at Fort Erie RT
SmartCap eval of the 4th at Fort Erie
SmartCap eval of the 4th at Fort Erie RT
Explanation on how to read SmartCap
Explanation on how to read SmartCap RT
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