Post time is 1:38 pm EDT
I will be back later for tonight’s pick five from Assiniboia.
For now, given the number of tracks that are predicted to have rain, I am going north of the border to Ft. Erie, which sits on the Niagara River, across the border from Buffalo.
If you believe the algorithms of STATS Race Lens, then the huge favorite is the one to beat. I’m of the opinion that he is a vulnerable favorite to the #2 Magical Breeze (2/1).
22% trainer Sharon Ceccata has this horse moving in the right direction, bringing him back from a long layoff to a 6f event and then moved up in class and distance to run an even third last out. Looking over the pp’s, almost every time that #4 Narrow Escape (9/5) has had to run the extra forty yards, to today’s distance, he fades off.
I’m a buyer of #5 Love That Lute (3/1) over #3 Marcus. Every time I see STATS Race Lens bending this far to one side, it typically ends up losing. Additionally, #5 gets a twelve-pound weight break in this and that will be critical. SmartCap has Love That Lute with best overall class, near best speed and this class drop fits.