Week 3, day 5: First post is 4:46 pm EDT
For the contest, each handicapper will designate one of his race picks per weekday and two on Saturday and Sunday. Win, place, show betting only. $20 per bet. Weeks run Monday through Sunday.
Play along and in future months you may have a chance to beat the pros.
Just when it looked like Garrity had taken a commanding lead with his 12-1 WINNER Wednesday, RT bet $7 win, $13 place on 3-Ivar in the 9th race at Churchill Downs and the 14-1 shot came through, enriching RT by $107.80 in the win pool and $68.90 in the place pool. Garrity put $20 to win on 6-I Love Jaxson in the 7th at Belmont Park but Jaxson didn't love him back, finishing fourth. RT is now +96.70 this week and Garrity is +$160.
The Pick: Race 8, Churchill Downs, $7 to win $13 to post on #3 Club Car, post time 4:46 pm EDT
Why: #3 Club Car (5/2) has our best overall class, speed, and best races two and three back. Corey Lanerie won on her to break her maiden at 6.5f last fall, she switched riders and he returned to her last out after a six month layoff and ran evenly, getting up for show
For more detail of this pick and RT's other pick at Churchill Downs today, please check out his post here.
The Pick: Race 9, Belmont Park, $20 to win on #4 Guildsman, post time 5:36 pm EDT
Why: This is the Sir Cat, an $80,000 stakes race for 3-year-olds at 6 furlongs on turf. We are projecting a hot pace, as there are a couple of speedballs in here who only know one way, which is to go to the front and stay there as long as they can. They will be able to lead for four, or maybe five, furlongs, but not for six: the unsustainably fast early fractions will leave the pacesetters out of gas late, and set the race up for a come-from-behinder. That 4 - Guildsman, a French-bred colt who has run in the U.S. twice, making up ground in each of them, but failing to win. Both those races, however, were at shorter distances than this one, and the additional yardage, plus the expected fast pace, will put him in the winner’s circle. Look for a big effort, and a big late run, from him. We will bet him to win at 7/2 odds.