SmartCap and RT pick the 5th race at Will Rogers Downs and have notes on the rail, and recent cards
This is a six furlong, $7.5K starter allowance for three year olds and up which have started for a claiming price of $7.5K or less in the past year. Post time is 4:15 pm
Yesterday, after much running around, I arrived at my office and fired up the computer, the third race was in progress. I kept looking for the #2….and looked…and looked… and, ouch. Dead last.
The good news? I got a haircut.
Since returning, I am 27: 8-6-1
Using $2/w and $4/place, that’s $173 bet, $182.70 returned: for a net of $10.70 - an roi of 5.61%.
Notes/observations from the past few cards at WRD:
The rail is still seemingly dead. In the third race, Benny Landeros, on the #1 horse, Justaboutright, moved off the rail when coming into the turn and ran him down the center for the win. This is what it’s going to take from the jockey to have the inside bias taken away as an impediment.
With the exception of the final race, after some rain delayed the start, the speed did not hold up and the track played to a closers bias.
Shippers from TuP, Zia and Sun are not faring well in their first time out.
Scott Lake has brought some Mid-Atlantic horses to Claremore and they have solid pp’s yet have also petered out in their first attempt. Look for those with a race over the track to improve from his barn.
In the 7th, an MVR shipper, Tin Can Allie, was sent out in a MCL race and I bet her based on moving in from the Ohio racetrack. She won and paid $62.60.
Jockey Ry Eikelberry strung together three in a row yesterday in the 4th, 5th and 6th. Floyd Wethey is still the leader of the meet with 26 wins, Ty Kennedy is second with 25 and David Cabrera is near with 21.
Diodoro is first in the trainer standings with 24, Scott Young has 21 and Karl Broberg has 16
In routes, Eikelberry leads with 28% winners with Cabrera near at 25%, Kennedy and Goncalves are at 22%. Tohill is hitting at 19% and Luzzi near with 18%
For sprints, Kennedy is 31%, Goncalves is 29%, Cabrera 27%, Wethey 26% and Luzzi 17%.
For routes, trainer Jon Arnett is 42% and a 40% overall. Paul Smith is second in routes with 38% and Asmussen is third with 33%.
Arnett is 38% in sprints and Diodoro is 33%. Arnett has a horse in the 7th and two in the 10th today.
Today is the 5th race at Will Rogers. This is a six furlong, $7.5K starter allowance for three year olds and up which have started for a claiming price of $7.5K or less in the past year.
SmartCap has uncovered #9 Thurman Merman (4/1) with the best overall speed and near best class. He also has the best last numbers. #10 Freedom Hill (7/2) has a near best last figure with a solid overall speed and class numbers and near best last results. #2 My Wise Cat (3/1) has near best last numbers, solid overall speed figures and competitive class ratings. #6 Big Em C (8/1) has best overall class, best results going two and three back, and near best overall speed. #11 Ender (12/1) has near overall speed figures and best race three back. #1 Barry Lee (15/1) showed tremendous improvement last out after dropping down to $6.25K claiming from $20K and won going away in 1:10.3 at OP on March 26th.
There is going to be a lot of speed in this race. #’s 7-9-10 will vie for the early lead which will leave closers like 2-3-4 the chance to save ground and make a late move. With #2 My Wise Cat having three races over the track, two of them wins, and one place, he will be a tough out. My selection.
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