Thursday Night Horse Racing: RT picks sloppy Penn National and throws in some weekend football wagers
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Penn National Racecourse
Grantville, PA.
Thursday, Halloween Evening
Rainy and 70̊
Musings
Follow Me @RtsSpot
Nationals! Nationals! Nationals! Haven’t been paying attention to the game and I have yet to hear whether there has been another Series where the road team's won every game. I’m sure that stat will surface.
When you think you’ve had a bad day, think of Mattress Mack - $12M lost on The ‘Stros
I will be at the track all day Friday and I’m posting Fridays’ SA races today
Equine Races and Bovine Laces
1) Leaning toward Arizona +10 Kyler Murray to Larry Fitzgerald for the back door cover.
2) Georgia -6 in The Worlds Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party. Fla looks vulnerable
3) Liberty/UMass under 70. Can two manure teams put up 35 each? Nah
4) Indy -1. Steelers allowed Miami to jump ahead on MNF before waking up. Indy the better squad and will score early and often
5) Buffalo -9.5. Bills will get healthy beating up a terrible Redskins team
6) Philly -5. Chicago is bad…as bad as Washington and Miami
6:00 est Race 1
$8K Claiming for NW3 PA breds 3yo+ going 5.5 furlongs
#4 Indian Tango (7/2) given the track conditions at post time, I’m taking this Presque Isle shipper. Eighth leading jockey for the meet (19%) and hottest jockey of the last ten days (24%), William Otero, takes the reins tonight as he drops in for a tag. Last out, in a $32K open company allowance, he got a solid jump, ran up near the lead and eventually tired in the stretch. The race prior, an Ohio bred $28K allowance, he won it going away. Since the track will play sloppy, he should respond well as it’ll play similar to Presque Isles’ synthetic surface. This runner comes in with the Equibase/SmartCap programs’ best last, best speed and best class ratings.
#6 Team Ribot (3/1) coming off a claim and win against a whisker less company, this entrant for trainer Mark Salvaggio (21% moving up in class, 10% first off the claim), fourth leading rider Inoel Beato up for his first try. Had a freshening workout on October 16th and he should take this gelding near the lead.
#1 Tiger Alley (9/2) dropping for a tag, Julio Hernandez, the third leading rider, gets this mount for the second time. The last out was a $32K allowance race that ended up being a strong key race.
Bets $25/w $50/p #4 $5 Exacta box 4-6-1
6:27 est Race 2
$5K Claiming for fillies and mares, 3yo+ going 6 furlongs
#10 Take Me Home (5/2) second leading rider, Tyler Connor, returns in the irons for this sprint and the far outside post will play to his advantage. Tyler will be able to run him out of the gate, stay wide and prevent the slop from impeding his mount and then taking control on the turn. Trainer Mike Salvaggio tough in this spot – 33% overall, 35% moving down in class and 26% with the jockey. Take Charge Indy filly has the highest SmartCap score
6:55 est Race 3
$28K Allowance for fillies and mares going 1 mile and 70 yards
#2 Neyami (6/1) going off the grid numbers-wise and taking the jockey and trainer who is scoring top numbers in routes. In the slop, jockey skill plays the biggest part and Julio Hernandez is clipping along at 22% at this distance. Trainer Jamie Ness is even more dangerous in sprints hitting 38%.
#6 Dilly Dilly Philly (5/1) strong class rating and best last ratings. Tyler Connor (24% in routes) up
Bets – not too heavy $20/w $40/p #2 $5 Exacta box 2-6
The rest
Race 4 - #9 Josephine (5/2)
Race 5 - #6 Yes To The Dress (5/1)
Race 6 - #2 Pray With Faith (8/1)
Race 7 - #6 My Only Sunshine (7/2)
Race 8 - #10 Wrangle (7/2)