The Pebble Beach Pro-Am is upon us and the stars are finally out to shine! With a full field of the world's best golfers on tour, in a condensed format, we are sure to get fireworks!
Since the world’s #1 golfer returns and a majority of the best players in this field, we had a lot to sort through! Let's get into it!
Pebble Beach Golf Links, in Pebble Beach, California will be the host course of this event. The event is split with a 2-course rotation with the field also playing at & Spyglass Hill Golf Course, in a No-Cut format with 80 golfers.
This event is one of the shortest on tour sitting at 6,972 yards, as well as very small greens, 3500 sq ft avg. The greens are protected well with bunkers on both courses and the golfers must be able to get up and down to find success here.
The Key Stats to succeed in this tournament are fairways gained, scrambling, wedge shots within 100, and approach within 125 to 200. Greens are going to be missed and need to target solid scramblers that can putt well.
Adam Scott still is one of the best and most consistent golfers on tour. Dating back to the US Open in 2022, he routinely finishes inside the top 40 and only missed 5 cuts in 61 events. Since the turn of the new year, he finished T15 at The Sentry and T37 in the Dubai Desert Classic (European Tour event).
His history at Pebble Beach has seen recent finishes of T20 last year and T7 in 2019, which was the US Open. Poa Annua putting surface is Scott's best one as he gains a 0.5 stroke per round. In 2025 Scott ranks #2 in Birdie Average, #4 in Greens in Regulation%, and in this condensed field, I like his odds here.
The last time Sepp Straka won a tournament, he had a week off. He then followed it up with a T2, at the Open Championship nonetheless, which is a featured event just like this one. Two weeks ago Sepp perhaps played the best round of golf he may ever play, gaining an insane 16 Total Strokes Gained for the tournament.
Since the Hero World Challenge in December, he has finished T9, T15, T30, and 1. Gaining strokes off the tee, approaching the green, with his putter, and tee to green. He is in fantastic form!
His history here says he has a good chance as well, finishing T26 last year, and T28 in the US Open in 2019. He is very accurate off the tee and very sharp with his irons and wedges from 200 in, which is a recipe for success here!
I am going to keep backing Keegan here as he continues to surprise me and continues to finish well in events. Since the BMW Championship in August, he has finishes of 1, T21, 5, T15, T6, and T15, and has not finished worse than T15 in 2025. In his 2 Pebble Beach Pro-Ams, he has finishes of T11 and T15 and his form says he should be right there again!
Since January 1, he has gained strokes in every part of his bag, in every event except putting last week, which was barely negative. In his 2 events here he has gained 1.5 and 2 strokes on the field, and I like where the rest of his game is.
Don’t miss my Bonus Bets below! Personally, I took 1% and spread it out over the 5 + money plays. These are more for fun to have a few more plays going for the event, but they are backed with research!
Adam Scott Top 30 (-105)
Sepp Straka Top 30 (-105)
Keegan Bradley Top 30 (-120)
Denny McCarthy Top 30 (+110)
Jason Day Top 20 (+137)
Beau Hossler Top 20 (+140)
Harry Hall Top 20 (+150)
Justin Thomas Top 10 (+270)