That’s all we needed from Jordan Howard over the last 20:15 of the Cowboys game, but blowouts being blowouts, it was not meant to be. So, we fell short of having Howard cash tickets for the fifth week in a row.
Nevertheless, it says here an Eagles victory against the Bills runs through the ground attack, so we will jump on his back bigtime. A lot. And with good reason.
In addition to having eclipsed the O/U Yard total in the four prior games, Howard has a history of success against AFC teams (12 touchdowns in 12 games), including a two-TD performance just 51 weeks ago in Buffalo.
Toss in the fact that the Birds are loooong overdue for a 100-yard rusher (40 games and counting) and we might as well just hope for an All-Jordan/All-Day game.
Worth noting that FanDuel had him at 100-1 to score three TDs as of Saturday afternoon.
Howard Over 56.5 Yards Rushing . . . $6 / $5.00 (-120 WH)
Howard Over 99.5 Yards Rushing . . . $3 / $7.80 (+260 PB)
Howard Over 124.5 Yards Rushing . . . $1 / $6.00 (+600 PB)
Howard to Score a TD . . . $5 / $9.00 (+180 FD)
Howard to Score 2+ TDs . . . $3 / $39.00 (+1300 FD)
Howard to Score 3+ TDs . . . $1 / $100.00 (+10000 FD)
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>>> The Eagles need a win in the worst way and they are looking for someone on whom to take out their frustrations. The Bills' two home wins were against the Bengals and Dolphins (a combined 0-13 at this point), so we think the Eagles can steal this and possible win going away. We’ll grab the money line as well as some Alternative Spreads from both DraftKings and FanDuel.
Eagles To Win . . . $5 / $5.60 (-112 FD)
Eagles -3.5 . . . . $1 / 1.75 (DK)
Eagles -7.5 . . . . $1 / 2.80 (FD)
Eagles -11.5 . . . . $1 / 4.50 (DK)
Eagles -15.5 . . . . $1 / 6.50 (FD)
Eagles -21.5 . . . . $1 / 12.00 (FD)
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>>> Even though they are 5-1, the Bills have just 31 points coming out of the locker room (first and third quarters combined). Only the 1-5 Jets (30) and the 0-6 Dolphins (10) have fewer first-plus-third quarter points.
Eagles To Win 1st & 3rd Quarters (+460) . . . $3 / $13.81
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>>> We shied away from betting the Under on the Longest Field Goal Prop after getting burned in the Falcons game and line dropped from 47.5 to 46.5 in the weeks since, but because the Eagles and the Bills have combined for just three of 47 yards or longer so far this season (and the Cowboys did not trade Brett Maher to Buffalo), let’s grab it today.
Longest FG Under 46.5 (-115) . . . $5 / $4.35
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>>> The Eagles have turned the ball over at least twice in four of their seven games. The Bills have done so in three of their six contests. That’s a lot of turnovers just itching to be returned for paydirt.
To Score a Return Touchdown –
Eagles (+600) . . . $4 / $24.00
Bills (+550) . . . . $4 / $22.00
Both (+5018) . . . . $2 / $100.36
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>>> As long as FanDuel keeps offering 100-1 on JJ Arcega-Whiteside to score the first TD in a game, we’re gonna throw down a George Washington on him. They did move Boston Scott from +10000 to +2200 (pass), which is what JJAW is to score any TD at DraftKings. FD did raise the First TD odds on Mack Hollins (+2600 to +3800), so another GW for him.
A-W to Score First TD in Game . . . . $1 / $100.00
A-W to Score Any TD in Game . . . . . $1 / $22.00
Hollins to Score First TD in Game . . $1 / $38.00
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>>> We have absolutely no reason to think these two teams are going to light up the scoreboard, but we think that any Eagles game can easily get to 42, so we’ll play that to cover some over Alternative Totals from FanDuel. How does 40-35 sound?
Over 41.5 Points . . . $5 / $5.00
Over 47.5 Points . . . $1 / $2.10
Over 53.5 Points . . . $1 / $4.50
Over 61.5 Points . . . $1 / $10.00
Over 67.5 Points . . . $1 / $33.00
Over 73.5 Points . . . $1 / $100.00
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